Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 5.931891 6.764024 7.681427 8.769596 10.027357 11.438101 13.144039
2025-06-08 4.683699 5.732076 6.979476 8.579311 10.585623 13.030009 16.251406
2025-06-15 4.153354 5.357069 6.873210 8.935929 11.688968 15.264359 20.304295
2025-06-22 3.683852 4.955815 6.633076 9.027093 12.389626 16.993396 23.858290
2025-06-29 3.275432 4.566086 6.335517 8.966808 12.828693 18.364091 27.034634
2025-07-06 2.934064 4.219898 6.044094 8.857108 13.150591 19.562779 30.063623
2025-07-13 2.759723 4.087699 6.033640 9.139815 14.061729 21.709038 34.784580
2025-07-20 2.590518 3.941357 5.980195 9.339560 14.850110 23.732499 39.545248
2025-07-27 2.476786 3.865450 6.021177 9.682567 15.891729 26.262120 45.463239
2025-08-03 2.259482 3.604114 5.742578 9.471095 15.979292 27.191124 48.677907
2025-08-10 2.085824 3.396758 5.530150 9.344136 16.188501 28.336842 52.409062
2025-08-17 1.936853 3.216612 5.345208 9.242442 16.423893 29.541341 56.385709
2025-08-24 1.789232 3.028578 5.134193 9.080214 16.542924 30.564643 60.190717
2025-08-31 1.650486 2.844411 4.914012 8.879295 16.566439 31.405679 63.737358
2025-09-07 1.612063 2.833642 4.998550 9.249137 17.718993 34.569469 72.569485
2025-09-14 1.536855 2.749764 4.942479 9.343740 18.334935 36.719903 79.507224
2025-09-21 1.447164 2.631797 4.812950 9.281150 18.622179 38.216117 85.180393
2025-09-28 1.358893 2.509560 4.665164 9.167266 18.788255 39.467627 90.455666
2025-10-05 1.326529 2.491420 4.715537 9.460763 19.850604 42.795091 101.181033
2025-10-12 1.286042 2.454110 4.724738 9.668150 20.745208 45.848516 111.694045
2025-10-19 1.263647 2.450699 4.800871 10.024313 22.009893 49.905613 125.407765
2025-10-26 1.184134 2.326211 4.620538 9.804725 21.928505 50.756888 130.786081
2025-11-02 1.119158 2.226980 4.485180 9.672901 22.039122 52.086543 137.669566